Cincinnati 2021: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev preview, head-to-head & prediction

Match details

Fixture: (1) Daniil Medvedev vs (4) Andrey Rublev

Date: 21 August 2021

Tournament: 2021 Western & Southern Open

Round: Semifinals

Venue: Cincinnati, Ohio

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Surface: Outdoor hardcourt

Prize money: $3,028,140

Live telecast: USA – Tennis Channel | UK – Amazon Prime Video

Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev preview

Top seed Daniil Medvedev will face compatriot Andrey Rublev in the semifinals of the 2021 Western & Southern Open on Saturday.

Medvedev played some of the best tennis of his career in the quarterfinals against Pablo Carreno Busta, dismantling the Spaniard 6-1, 6-1. The Russian, who lost to Carreno Busta in the quarterfinals of the Olympics, got off to a blazing start to lead 4-1 in a mere 12 minutes.

Medvedev won all of the points on his first serve in the first set. He fared just as well on return, winning every single point on the Spaniard’s second serve.

In fact, the only time Carreno Busta could win a point on his second serve was when he was a couple of games away from defeat.

Medvedev, on the other hand, won four of eight points on his second serve and 24 of 26 on his first serve, proving just how lethal that shot was on the night.

Andrey Rublev, meanwhile, huffed and puffed his way past mercurial Frenchman Benoit Paire in his last-eight fixture on Friday.

Andrey Rublev has his task cut out.
Andrey Rublev has his task cut out.

Rublev, like Medvedev, got off to a quick start to take the opening set 6-2 without conceding a break point. However, Paire immediately fought back and leveled proceedings by taking the second set 6-3.

But the Russian quickly regrouped and was able to secure the decisive break of serve in the eighth game of the decider, before firing back-to-back aces to seal the win.

Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev head-to-head

Daniil Medvedev leads Andrey Rublev 4-0 in the head-to-head. What’s more surprising is the fact that Rublev has never won a set against his fellow countryman.

Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev prediction

Daniil Medvedev has been close to flawless in recent weeks. He is on an eight-match winning streak, during which he has only dropped two sets (both in Toronto).

As such, the odds are quite heavily stacked against Andrey Rublev in this fixture. Rublev possesses some of the most powerful groundstrokes on the men’s tour, but his tennis IQ is not the greatest and he often struggles to win long rallies.

Medvedev, by contrast, enjoys extended rallies in which he can wear down his opponent with his relentless ball-striking. The match-up definitely does not suit Rublev and he is unlikely to pose much of a threat to the red-hot Medvedev.

Prediction: Daniil Medvedev to win in straight sets.

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